This article examines the historical patterns and contemporary catalysts contributing to the potential dissolution of the Russian Federation. Drawing on extensive historical evidence, the study traces Russia’s long tradition of expansionist warfare—from...
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This article examines the historical patterns and contemporary catalysts contributing to the potential dissolution of the Russian Federation. Drawing on extensive historical evidence, the study traces Russia’s long tradition of expansionist warfare—from imperial conflicts with the Ottoman Empire to Soviet‑era interventions and modern hybrid operations. The analysis highlights how Russia’s geopolitical behavior has consistently shaped regional instability across Eastern Europe, the Balkans, and Eurasia. The article further explores the Soviet Union’s collapse as a precedent for multiethnic state fragmentation, assessing how similar structural pressures—demographic diversity, ethnic asymmetries, federal imbalances, and ideological manipulation—continue to affect the modern Russian Federation.
Contemporary developments, particularly the war in Ukraine, are evaluated as accelerators of systemic strain, exposing military, political, and economic vulnerabilities. The study also examines R
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